Will the S&P 500 Fall Below 5,000 in 2026? A Historically Flawless Predictive Metric Weighs In.

When the curtain closes on 2025 in a little over three weeks, investors will likely be looking back with a smile. As of the closing bell on Dec. 5, the benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) had rallied by nearly 17% year-to-date, with the growth-powered Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) and mature stock-driven Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI) logging respective gains of 22.1% and 12.7%.Investors have had no shortage of catalysts fueling their optimism this year, including the prospect of future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, better-than-expected corporate earnings, and multiple game-changing technologies taking shape (e.g., artificial intelligence and quantum computing).But one of the more interesting quirks of investing on Wall Street is that when things seem too good to be true, they often are. Despite the S&P 500 nearing what would be an all-time high of 6,900, one historically flawless predictive metric foresees a challenging road ahead for Wall Street's benchmark index in 2026.Continue readingWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei MotleyFool Weiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei MotleyFool