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05.09.2025 10:04:00

The Stock Market Flashes a Bullish Signal Seen Only 17 Times Since 1990. Big Gains Usually Follow in the Next Year.

The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) displayed unusually high volatility earlier this year when President Donald Trump began imposing tariffs. The index dropped more than 10% in two trading days in April, its fourth-worst two-day drop in history, then rebounded sharply when the president paused the most severe duties for 90 days.As the S&P 500 whipsawed, the CBOE Volatility Index (VOLATILITYINDICES: ^VIX) increased 143% in four trading days, the third-largest four-day spike in history, and topped 50 in April for the first time in five years. That was a bullish signal for the stock market because the S&P 500 has posted an average one-year return of 35% after incidents when the CBOE Volatility Index closed above 50.However, the U.S. stock market recently flashed another bullish signal. The CBOE Volatility Index fell more than 50% over a 20-week period for only the 17th time since 1990. Such a sharp reduction in volatility has usually lead to monster returns in the next year. Here's what investors should know.Continue readingWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei MotleyFool

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